I know it must seem like I am drunk, given the way I keep analyzing over-the-top AP opportunities.
How could it be possible to see both of the dealer's hole-cards in Texas Hold'em Bonus Poker (THB) at the start of the hand?
I was recently contacted by a surveillance professional at a casino where this exact scenario took place! Nothing wrong with that, just don't deal any cards until they are absolutely needed!
He was writing a report on an incident and wanted to know the edge the APs got.
By a weird coincidence, I recently considered this same hole-card scenario for Ultimate Texas Hold'em (UTH) (see this post).
In this modern era, even the most unexpected things happen.
I previously wrote about the situation where the AP can see one dealer hole-card in THB in this post.
I wrote about the situation where the AP can see one dealer hole-card and one common card in THB in this post.
I ran a complete combinatorial cycle for the first case (one dealer hole-card), but I did the second analysis by running simulations.
This post considers the situation when the AP sees two dealer hole-cards. To begin with, I will review the rules for THB: When the AP can see both dealer hole-cards pre-Flop in UTH, it was easy to write down a pre-Flop strategy (see this post).
Unfortunately in the corresponding situation, no simple play/fold pre-Flop strategy exists for THB.
The following spreadsheet lists the hands that should be folded pre-Flop, ranked by EV (expected value): To get a full sense for the pre-Flop strategy mess, just look at these images taken from the combinatorial analysis spread sheet given above: For example, the AP should fold (4c, 9d) against (Ac, Th) but play against (Ac, Jh).